Nov 24 2009

Investing For The Average Bear

Tag: 401k, Financial Basics, Investment Advice, current affairs, investing, retirement, stock marketParagon Wealth Management- Elizabeth @ 1:30 pm

photo by ucumari

As we recover from the worst bear market since The Depression, many investors wonder how they will ever be able to start or continue contributing to their investments. The following article, taken from the Simple Dollar blog, outlines simple and realistic steps anyone can take no matter their age or financial circumstances.

Investing Isn’t Just for Rich People: Five Ways Anyone Can Reap the Rewards of Investing

Written by Trent at The Simple Dollar

Quite a few readers simply tune out when I mention investments. They don’t believe the topic applies to them at all. “How can I possibly worry about investing when I can barely put food on the table?” they’ll ask.

The answer is simple: virtually every single person has the resources with which to begin investing. It may seem impossible for some to believe, but it’s true.

If you make purchasing decisions in your home, you have all you need to begin investing. Choose some generic items instead of the brands you usually buy and start your investing with the dollars you save.

If you ever spend money on entertainment, you have all you need to begin investing. Instead of renting a DVD at the Redbox, stop by your library, check out a movie for free, and put aside that dollar you save. There are countless other little ways to shave just a little bit here and there without changing your lifestyle.

If you use electricity, you have all you need to begin investing. Air seal your home or put in a programmable thermostat and you’ll see a significant drop in your energy bill, with which you can invest.

It all starts with the littlest of choices.

Here are five simple steps anyone can take with that savings

1. Participate in your employer’s retirement plan. More than 90% of the employers in the United States offer a retirement plan. Many of those plans offer matching funds, in which the employer will make contributions to the plan if the employee does as well. Plus, this money goes in before taxes, meaning for every dollar you put in, it reduces your paycheck by substantially less than a dollar - and it also reduces your income tax at the end of the year. If you have a retirement plan at work and are choosing not to even consider using it, you’re choosing poverty.

2. Start an automatic savings plan. If you’ve found a way to cut your spending by even a quarter a day, you have enough to start. Set up an automatic savings plan and transfer whatever you’ve saved to a savings account each week or each month. Even $10 a month - about $0.30 a day - is a great way to start, as it will add up to $121 or so over the course of a year and continue to earn interest beyond that.

3. “Snowflake” into a savings account. If you discover useful one-time ways to save or to earn a little bit more money, don’t spend it frivolously on something you want in the short term. Instead, take that little amount - the $10 you found in the parking lot, the $7 you saved buying toilet paper in bulk - and put it right into your savings account. Even better, just start a jar for it, throw that snowflake right into the jar, then take it down to the bank when the jar is full.

4. Save windfalls instead of spending them. What about when something bigger and unexpected comes along? A relative dies, leaving you an unexpected sum. You get a settlement. You win a large cash raffle. Sure, feel free to celebrate with a little of that windfall, but instead of blowing through the whole thing like a snowblower through powder, put most of it into your savings.

5. As your savings grows, buy a CD - and then grow from there. Once you hit your bank’s minimums for purchasing a certificate of deposit, do so. This will earn you quite a bit more interest than you were earning in your savings account, but it will “lock up” your money for a while. That’s a good thing - since you’re not intending to spend it anyway, locking it up is just fine.

Congratulations, you’re an investor. When that CD matures and you couple it with your additional savings, you may have enough to start branching into other investments. Hold onto that money - when opportunity comes your way, you’ll have exactly what you need to jump on board.

All this takes is a dollar a day.

Visit The Simple Dollar to read the entire article.


Nov 20 2009

Paragon Celebrated 23 Years of Business

Tag: paragon wealth managementParagon Wealth Management- Shannon @ 3:24 pm

The Paragon Team:  Trudy, Shannon, David, Nathan, and Elizabeth

Paragon Wealth Management celebrated 23 years of business this month.

The beginning of Paragon

David Young started his career as an entrepreneur. He opened over a dozen successful businesses in the early 1980’s. In 1985, he sold his businesses and wanted to invest the proceeds, but was unable to find an investment firm to meet his needs.

David began conducting extensive research to find the best ways to invest. After a year of research and trial and error, he opened Paragon Wealth Management for business. At first he managed his money and his friends’ and family’s. When he avoided the 1987 crash, his methods sparked a lot of interest from investors, and his company began to grow.

In the early years of David’s business, while managing his own money, he built and tested basic quantitative models that determined when to be in or out of the equity markets. The models measured, monitored, adjusted and changed the investments as market conditions changed.

David said the largest obstacle he faces in the investment industry is a bear bear market. He displays a 9 1/2 foot grizzly bear in his office that he hunted in Alaska to show he “killed” the bear. As an avid hunter and outdoorsman, David stared risk and uncertainty in the face many times while harvesting some world record book animals. At Paragon, in a similar way, he has survived three major bear markets and many mini bears over the past 23 years.

Today, David continues to research to find ways to improve Paragon’s portfolios. Paragon is known for its flagship portfolio called Top Flight. It has generated a total return of 323.01% versus 30.82% for the S&P 500 from its inception on January 1, 1998 through October 31, 2009. Its compound annual return is 13. 16% versus 2.33% for the S&P 500. (Visit www.paragonwealth.com to see complete track record and full disclosures.)


Nov 10 2009

Dow Hits 2009 High

Tag: current affairs, investing, stock market updateParagon Wealth Management- Shannon @ 12:49 pm

photo by Truthout.org

A broad U.S. stocks rally sent the Dow industrials to a 13-month high on Monday, after the Group of 20 pledged to keep aid flowing to the world economy, strengthening investors’ desire for risk.  The following article from the Deseret News discusses in more detail how the agreement boosted global stocks.

Dow hits highest level in a year
Associated Press

NEW YORK - The Dow Jones industrial average stormed to its highest level in more than a year Monday as a falling dollar boosted prices for commodities including gold and oil. Stocks also jumped as investors grew more confident that governments around the world will keep interest rates low to help the global economy.

Energy and materials stocks led the market higher. Major indexes rose 2 percent, including the Dow, which jumped 200 points for the second time in three days, to its highest level in 13 months.

News that the Group of 20 countries will keep their economic stimulus measures in place signaled to investors that rates will remain low. With U.S. rates near zero, the G-20 news lessened demand for the dollar.

Investors see the dollar as weaker than other currencies, and so they’re using it for what’s known as “carry trade,” to finance purchases of investments in other countries. That trend takes the dollar down further when those purchases are made.

But some analysts are questioning the markets’ moves, and warn that stocks and other investments could suffer big losses if the dollar were to turn higher.

Still, many investors like a weaker dollar because it helps U.S. exporters by making their goods cheaper to overseas buyers and giving the companies a boost when they convert profits from abroad to dollars.

The ICE Futures U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, fell to its lowest level in 15 months. The dollar rose last year and early this year but the index has been sliding for the past eight months since major stock indicators bounced off 12-year lows. Investors, although they’ve been basing most of their buy or sell decisions on the economy, have also been following a pattern of funneling money into stocks when the dollar weakens and pulling it out when the currency rises.

Commodities prices, meanwhile, tend to rise when the dollar is down, so gold topped $1,100 an ounce. Crude oil rose $2 to settle at $79.43 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, helped in part by Tropical Storm Ida, which threatened the Gulf of Mexico.

Energy and materials stocks rose along with commodities prices, and investors’ enthusiasm for those stocks spilled over to other industries.

Brian Battle, vice president of trading at Performance Trust Capital Partners in Chicago, said the strength of the carry trade is giving an artificial lift to a range of assets, including stocks.

“There’s cheap money that’s going to be pumping its way into the system,” he said. “That money is finding is home in the currency and commodity markets.”

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow rose 203.52, or 2 percent, to 10,226.94, its highest finish since Oct. 3, 2008. The index rose as high as 10,228.23, topping its previous 12-month trading high of 10,119.46 set last month.

The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 23.78, or 2.2 percent, to 1,093.08, its sixth straight advance. The Nasdaq composite index rose 41.62, or 2 percent, to 2,154.06.

Five stocks rose for every one that fell on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.2 billion shares compared with 1.1 billion Friday.


Nov 04 2009

The Stock Market Rebound

Tag: Investment Advice, current affairs, investing, stock market, stock market updateParagon Wealth Management- Elizabeth @ 12:04 pm

photo by Philip Klinger

Third Quarter 2009 will be remembered as one of the most eventful periods in stock market history. One year has passed since the weekend that shook the foundations of Wall Street and the global financial system. Lehman Brothers collapsed, Merrill Lynch vanished as an independent entity, and AIG was taken over by the U.S. government. Almost two years have passed since the Dow Industrials hit its all time peak of 14,164.

Beyond the issues facing the global economy, there are many underlying positives that give cause for optimism looking forward.

The following article from The Simple Dollar discusses the stock market rebound and why we are optimistic.

Since mid-March, the S&P 500 is up almost 58% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up almost as much. If you opened your retirement savings at the end of the first quarter this year and looked at the numbers with a cringe, it’s likely that if you looked at the numbers right now, you’d feel significantly better.

Why the big rebound? To put it simply, the greater world finally realized that the only thing we had to fear was fear itself. The economy didn’t collapse. Instead, we just find ourselves in the middle of - and perhaps moving towards the later stages of - a rather strong recession.

Naturally, as the economy begins to slowly come out of a recession, the stock market goes gangbusters. Companies are beginning to reawaken and slowly increase production, a radically different picture than the massive cost cutting of the past year. Unemployment is somewhat stable - it might go up a little more, but it’s no longer on the rocket ship that it once was.

In short, we’re getting through this and we see sunlight at the end of the tunnel.

What does this mean for you and me, as small individual investors? Does this mean we should convert all of our investments into stocks and ride the rocket ship?

To put it simply, no, it doesn’t.

Hedging your long-term investments on what you think the stock market (or any investment market) is going to do in the short term is called market timing, and it’s never a good idea.

My philosophy is simple, and it’s one that was taught to me by many, many wise investment writers and investment books: unless you’re a day trader or spend a significant amount of time daily studying the stock market, you’re a long term investor, and long term investors have nothing to gain from trying to time the market.

Simply put, the vagaries and complexities and huge sums dealt with on the stock market each and every day, with so much insider information floating around and individuals playing all kinds of manipulative gains, plus the total uncertainty of day-to-day world events (if you recall, for example, 9/11 was wholly unexpected), makes it a very unsafe place for the typical person trying to save for retirement or for another long term goal. Instead, their reward is to simply look at the stock market as a long term place to put their money for a long term investment with a payoff date more than ten years down the road.

It’s all about your goals and your risk tolerance. It has nothing to do with what’s going on today, tomorrow, or next week.

Don’t let yourself be swayed by huge positive returns in the short term - or huge negative returns in the short term, either. Just stay the course with what you’re doing. If you find that the stress of such swings makes you nervous, redirect your future contributions to something with lower risk, like bonds.

Otherwise, just let things ride. Tomorrow might bring a huge unexpected event that we can’t see coming - or that some CEO is keeping under wraps for now. Given time, the stock market will correct itself from that, but over the short term, it’s basically little more than gambling unless you have the time and resources to devote yourself to truly careful study - or you’re investing with a small sliver of your portfolio that’s there solely to play around with.